The upcoming U.S. Presidential election might turn out to be as complex and incomprehensible as the covid-19 pandemic.
To start, because of the asymmetry between both parties towards mail voting (Democrats more inclined to vote by mail), there might be an initial red mirage, with Mr. Trump appearing to win before the counting of the mail votes starts. Mr. Trump might declare victory prematurely.
Even if Mr. Trump loses the popular vote (and electoral college vote), he might not concede defeat and bow out graciously.
He might refuse to leave the White House, in which case, I read on the web, the secret service might have to physically escort him out as a civilian, an operation the venerable organization is reportedly simulating and rehearsing already.
In addition to that, there might be some resistance from Trump supporters, the nature of which is anyone's guess at the moment.
Taken together, the outcome of the election might be very unpredictable, even if Mr. Biden wins the election.